Seasonal Forecasting of North China Summer Rainfall Using a Statistical Downscaling Model

Statistical Forecasting of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall: An Enduring Challenge

An assessment of rainfall seasonal forecasting skill from the statistical model SCOPIC using four predictors

The statistical model SCOPIC (Seasonal Climate Outlook for Pacific Island Countries) has been used to produce seasonal forecasts in ten Pacific Island nations since mid-2007 to improve their seasonal forecasting capacity and to provide timely warnings to changes in rainfall. However, to date there has been no detailed hindcast validation study to compare the forecast skill from the different pr...

East China summer rainfall variability of 1958-2000: Dynamical downscaling with a variable-resolution AGCM

A variable-grid atmospheric general circulation model, namely, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamiquezoom, version 4 (LMDz4), with a local zoom over eastern China, is driven by 40-yr European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analysis (ERA-40) data and is used as a downscaling tool of summer rainfall variability for the period 1958–2000. During the integration, the model tempe...

A Bayesian approach for multi-model downscaling: Seasonal forecasting of regional rainfall and river flows in South America

C. A. S. Coelho1, D. B. Stephenson1, F. J. Doblas-Reyes2, M. Balmaseda2, A. Guetter3 and G. J. van Oldenborgh4 1Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Earley Gate, PO Box 243, Reading RG6 6BB, United Kingdom 2European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield Park, Reading RG2 9AX, United Kingdom 3Instituto Tecnológico SIMEPAR, Centro Politécnico da UFPR, Jardim das Améric...

Prediction of Rainfall under HadCM3 and CanESM2 Climate Change Models using Statistical Downscaling Model (Case Study: Tabriz Synoptic Station)

Global climate change as a main factor affecting all ecological components, has been attended by researchers all over the world in the recent years. In this regard for simulating the rainfall, National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) data, HadCM3 data under A2 and B2 scenarios, CanESM2 data under RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios were utilized. This research was performed by adopt...